Tamil Nadu, Kerala Rain Forecast: IMD Outlook, 12-16 November

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal and Kerala will keep getting rain through 16 November, with isolated heavy falls possible in Tamil Nadu on 15 and 16 November and in Kerala on 16 November, the India Meteorological Department has said. A low-pressure area is expected over the southeast Bay of Bengal around 13 November, and IMD has warned fishermen to stay out of the southeast Bay from 13 to 15 November.

Gusty Thunderstorms Over Tamil Nadu

IMD’s 10 November bulletin recorded very heavy rain of 12-21 cm over Tamil Nadu in the previous 24 hours, the highest being 13 cm at Oothu. It forecasts thunderstorms with lightning over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal on 10-12 and 15-16 November. Business Today reports winds of 40-50 km/h, gusting to 60 km/h, during these spells.

Our report on Wednesday’s heavy rain has the earlier numbers. Rain is expected to become fairly widespread to widespread on 15 November.

Also read Chennai, Tirupati Record 2 cm Rain; Tamil Nadu Showers Last Till 10 November

Kerala, Lakshadweep and the Coast Next

Kerala and Mahe will see scattered rain through 15 November and widespread rain on 16 November. Lakshadweep gets rain from 10 to 16 November. Coastal and south interior Karnataka, and coastal Andhra Pradesh and Rayalaseema, are due rain around 14-16 November.

Low Pressure Near Andaman Sea

IMD says the low should move northwest and become a well-marked low pressure area within 24 hours of forming. The bulletin advises farmers to drain paddy fields, postpone spraying and fertiliser application during rain, and secure harvested produce. It also advises people to avoid sheltering under trees during lightning. No warning has been issued for the Arabian Sea.

Updates on the system are collected on the IMD tag page.

Source: IMD press release, 10 November 2026. Also based on reporting by Business Today and Down To Earth.

Image: Wikimedia Commons (Marina Beach, Chennai; file photo).